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Adaptive Relational Zoning: a CAS Framework for Modelling Strategic Social Interaction

13 Juni 2025   13:09 Diperbarui: 13 Juni 2025   19:29 370
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1. Zones as Navigational Coordinates

Each zone---White, Green, Yellow, Red, Black, and Clear---encapsulates a relational field state defined by a weighted sum of variables such as trust, transparency, emotional signal, perceived loyalty, and dissonance. These zones are not static or normative labels but operational coordinates within a relational space that agents can interpret, anticipate, and recalibrate.

For instance:

White Zone indicates robust strategic harmony, where transparency, loyalty, and alignment coalesce. Agents in this zone can be relied upon for high-fidelity collaboration with minimal monitoring.
Yellow Zone, by contrast, represents ambiguity or partial alignment, where relational maneuvering, subtle signaling, and reputational management become necessary. This is often the pivot zone where decisions are made to strengthen trust or to exit.
Red Zone marks the onset of active conflict, resentment, or strategic distrust, which, while risky, can be leveraged to induce transformation or strategic decoupling.
Thus, the zones serve not as moral judgments but as strategic environments, each requiring distinct tactical approaches.

2. Zones as Temporal States, Not Fixed Categories

Because the model is temporally dynamic, zones shift as new information becomes available, as emotional or strategic needs change, or as agents adapt. This recognizes a critical aspect of complex adaptive systems: the importance of time-bound positioning and context-dependent strategy.

For example:

An ally in the Green Zone may shift to Yellow during a period of institutional stress---not because of betrayal but due to diverging temporal incentives.
A Red-Zone actor may evolve into a Green partner after mutual recalibration and structured renegotiation, particularly when emotional variables (e.g., V) are repaired.
Such fluidity supports tactical plasticity: the ability to shift alliances, recalibrate disclosures, or restructure roles without defaulting to zero-sum behaviors.

3. Strategic Maneuvering within and across Zones

The model allows agents to:

Monitor relational drift: Identify when a shift in zone signals a need for intervention.
Deploy bounded transparency: Use selective disclosure (managing V and V) to sustain ambiguity where full transparency would be counterproductive.
Leverage emotional data: Understand that V (emotional resonance) and V (dissonance) often function as leading indicators of deeper misalignment.
Decouple tactically: In some cases, retreating from a Black or Red Zone relation may restore organizational coherence and prevent system-wide instability.

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