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Relational Zone Economics: Toward a Complex Adaptive Theory of Strategic Human Interaction in Economics System

25 Juni 2025   21:07 Diperbarui: 25 Juni 2025   21:07 335
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Descriptive Analysis of Table 2: Investment Behavior Across Relational Zones

Table 2 extends the relational zoning framework into the domain of investment behavior, offering a novel lens to understand how different relational climates shape investment logic, time horizon, risk tolerance, and expected returns. Unlike traditional financial models that often assume uniform rationality and expected utility maximization, this framework recognizes that investors' behaviors are deeply embedded in relational signals, narrative frames, and trust dynamics that vary across zones.

White Zone (Neutral & Transactional Investment)

Investments in the White Zone are purely instrumental and liquidity-driven. Investors make decisions based on quantitative indicators, benchmarks, and risk-return profiles without concern for relational continuity or systemic impact. These include short-term trades, index fund allocations, or algorithmic arbitrage strategies. The assumption is perfect information, low emotional attachment, and quick reversibility. While efficient, such investments are often detached from the underlying real economy, and they can contribute to volatility if aggregated at scale.

Green Zone (Relational & Trust-Based Investment)

Green Zone investors operate with long-term orientation and relational proximity. Here, capital is deployed not just for returns, but also for mutual growth, community strengthening, or ecosystem resilience. This includes patient capital, impact investment, and cooperative financing models. Trust and reputational capital are core to decision-making, often validated through social proof, shared values, or historical commitment. The Green Zone recognizes intangible returns like social cohesion, local employment, and stakeholder wellbeing as part of its value equation.

Yellow Zone (Speculative & Ambiguous Investment)

Investments in the Yellow Zone are driven by narrative potential, hype cycles, and opaque strategic positioning. Investors navigate through signals that are fuzzy or intentionally ambiguous---like emerging technologies, disruptive platforms, or unregulated assets. Decision-making often involves herding behavior, FOMO (fear of missing out), and narrative arbitrage. While capable of producing high returns, these zones also harbor asymmetric risk, due to the difficulty of verifying intentions or valuing assets with stable fundamentals.

Red Zone (Adversarial or Politicized Investment)

The Red Zone is where capital meets conflict. Investments here are shaped by power asymmetries, regulatory hostilities, or competitive sabotage. Think of geopolitical investment warfare, predatory lending, or hostile takeovers. Trust is eroded, and investments are hedged with legal contingencies, lobbying strategies, or coercive instruments. While high-stakes and potentially lucrative, Red Zone investing often entails zero-sum logic, reputational risks, and potential backlashes.

Black Zone (Exploitative or Deceptive Investment)

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