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Adaptive Relational Zoning: a CAS Framework for Modelling Strategic Social Interaction

13 Juni 2025   13:09 Diperbarui: 13 Juni 2025   19:29 371
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Thus, the ARZ framework operationalizes the CAS paradigm in a novel domain: adaptive relational ethics and social navigation. It offers a model in which relational identities are fluid, interaction histories are weighted, and behavioral responses are governed by adaptive rules rather than moral absolutes or fixed categories. This theoretical integration enhances both the descriptive fidelity and predictive capacity of the framework, positioning ARZ as a formal innovation within the broader canon of complex systems science applied to human sociality.

 B. Game Theory & Evolutionary Strategies: Interaction as Non-Zero-Sum Adaptive Learning

The Adaptive Relational Zoning (ARZ) framework integrates principles from Game Theory and Evolutionary Strategy Models to capture the complexity of human interactions as adaptive, context-sensitive, and often non-zero-sum. Unlike classical approaches that treat social encounters as static win/lose configurations, the ARZ approach draws from iterated and asymmetric games to model dynamic cooperation, strategic reciprocity, betrayal, and relational inertia.

In standard game-theoretic formulations (e.g., Prisoner's Dilemma, Stag Hunt, Ultimatum Game), agents must weigh short-term payoffs against long-term trust, often under conditions of incomplete information. However, in evolving social ecosystems, payoffs are subjectively and temporally distributed---what is perceived as a gain today may seed long-term relational decay, and what feels like a loss now may build social capital over time. The ARZ framework encapsulates this nuance through zonal weights that adjust based on history, context, and anticipated future interaction.

From an evolutionary game theory standpoint (Axelrod & Hamilton, 1981), cooperation and defection emerge not as binary moral choices but as adaptive strategies shaped by feedback. For example, "tit-for-tat" strategies that reward cooperation and punish defection can stabilize trust networks, but may fail under noisy conditions or in multi-agent systems with hidden motives. The ARZ model addresses these limitations by introducing zone-based gradations of cooperation (white/green) and strategic defection or guarded interaction (yellow/red), allowing for fine-grained calibrations rather than binary reactivity.

Moreover, the non-zero-sum nature of human social exchange is a key departure from oversimplified antagonistic models. In reality, two individuals can both gain from a relationship (white/green zone), or both experience loss through mistrust or miscommunication (red/black zones). Relationships often involve trade-offs across multiple axes---material gain, emotional support, reputational risk, future opportunity---rendering single-utility models insufficient. The ARZ model accounts for these multivariable payoffs by incorporating a multi-dimensional utility function, where relational value is a weighted composite of trust, usefulness, loyalty, and perceived intent.

In complex environments such as politics, diplomacy, or trauma recovery, strategic ambiguity and reputation signaling play crucial roles. A yellow-zoned actor, for example, may exhibit cooperation as a facade to extract future gains, while a green-zone actor may accept temporary harm for the sake of longer-term emotional stability. These strategic divergences are modeled in ARZ through dynamic updating functions akin to Bayesian inference, where agents revise beliefs about others' zones based on new behavioral evidence.

Finally, ARZ adopts the notion of bounded rationality (Simon, 1955) by assuming that actors operate under cognitive, emotional, and temporal constraints. Instead of assuming perfect information and unlimited strategic foresight, ARZ presumes that relational agents make heuristic judgments---often based on pattern recognition, emotion-laden memory, and cultural framing---about the "zone" of another and how best to respond.

In sum, ARZ extends Game Theory by embedding it within a relational, non-equilibrium, multi-agent framework, wherein strategies evolve not only from immediate incentives but from social learning, moral calculus, and contextual adaptiveness. This makes it not only a descriptive framework for understanding social behavior, but a predictive tool for modeling relational transitions, social resilience, and breakdown in trust-based systems.

C. Sociometrics and Relational Data Modeling (Wasserman & Faust, 1994)

The Adaptive Relational Zoning (ARZ) framework draws crucial theoretical support from sociometric analysis and relational data modeling, particularly the foundational work of Wasserman and Faust (1994) on Social Network Analysis (SNA). At its core, ARZ reconceptualizes interpersonal relationships as dynamic, weighted, and directional ties within an evolving network---each "zone" representing a composite social valence that fluctuates over time and context.

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