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Adaptive Relational Zoning: a CAS Framework for Modelling Strategic Social Interaction

13 Juni 2025   13:09 Diperbarui: 13 Juni 2025   19:29 371
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 C. Case 3: Leadership in Uncertain Environments

This simulation explores relational dynamics between a leader (Agent L) and multiple constituents (Agents A...A) in a volatile and high-stakes context---such as during a public health crisis, organizational restructuring, or geopolitical instability. The purpose is to illustrate how the Six-Zone Relational Model operates in environments requiring strategic maneuvering, adaptive signaling, and bounded transparency.

Scenario Context

Agent L is the CEO of a rapidly growing tech startup facing a financial downturn and regulatory scrutiny. The leadership team must balance internal morale, external trust, and strategic ambiguity, often communicating selectively to avoid panic. The relationship dynamics between L and three key agents---A (CTO), A (Head of People), and A (Lead Investor)---are tracked across 6 weeks using the relational scoring function:

RLi(t)=k=1nwk(t)Vk,Li(t)+CR_{Li}(t) = \sum_{k=1}^{n} w_k(t) \cdot V_{k,Li}(t) + C

Where VkV_k represents primary relational variables (e.g., reliability, transparency, political loyalty, emotional signals), and wk(t)w_k(t) adapts in response to uncertainty pressures.

Trajectory Overview by Role

Time

Agent

Zone

Narrative

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