World War III on the Horizon? What it Means for Indonesia's Security and Economy

Moreover, rising nationalism and xenophobia often accompany major conflicts. Indonesia, known for its pluralistic society, may face heightened social tensions and divisions. The government would need to carefully manage these dynamics to maintain national unity and prevent internal instability.

4. Diplomatic Opportunities and Challenges

Despite the negative consequences, a global conflict may also create opportunities for Indonesia to play a more active diplomatic role. As a member of ASEAN and the G20, and with its experience in peacekeeping missions, Indonesia could position itself as a mediator or neutral actor promoting dialogue and conflict resolution.

Indonesia's track record in advocating for peaceful solutions, such as its consistent support for Palestine and its active role in promoting peace in Myanmar, demonstrates its potential to contribute constructively to de-escalation efforts (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Indonesia, 2023). However, this diplomatic path would require careful balancing to avoid provoking major powers or becoming entangled in their rivalries.

Brewster, D. (2019). The Indo-Pacific: A Strategic Concept in Search of a Regional Policy. Contemporary Southeast Asia, 41(1), 1-17. https://doi.org/10.1355/cs41-1a

Indonesian Investment Coordinating Board. (2023). Indonesia's Investment Realization Report Q4 2023. https://www.bkpm.go.id/

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Indonesia. (2023). Indonesia's Role in Global Peace Efforts. https://kemlu.go.id/

Storey, I. (2018). The South China Sea Dispute: Increasing Stakes and Rising Tensions. The Asia-Pacific Journal, 16(10).

UNHCR. (2022). Indonesia Fact Sheet: Refugees and Asylum Seekers. https://www.unhcr.org/id/

World Bank. (2009). Global Economic Prospects: Commodities at the Crossroads. https://www.worldbank.org/