How big is the importance of the form of the moment in a bet? Does the shape of the moment matter in sports betting when you do an analysis? The answer to this question is necessary yes. This is a parameter I take into account because it is important to know the shape of a team's time to bet. I generally take into account 6 matches, i.e. between one month and one and a half months of football competition. It's no use going to watch what happened 20 games before but don't take it below 4 games. Between 4 and 6 games, you can have a snapshot of the team's shape at a given time T.
Then we have to look for the explanation. The timetable must, therefore, be taken into account. Imagine a team that makes a very good start in the league and then wins or draws for 8-9 games but can't win for 5 or 6 games and only draws or loses. By analyzing the calendar, you may notice that the teams she met at the beginning of the season were mid- or end-of-season teams but that, by chance from the calendar, she has been competing for 4 or 5 games against slightly stronger teams - the top 6, top 8 - and is having trouble getting the good results in sequence.
You can be in what is called a good run in sports betting. A drop in speed can also be explained by injuries, suspensions - if the three best players on the team are absent, this is obviously very important -, by the sequence of matches with the European Cup and the fatigue that is beginning to be felt, by the weather - playing outside in winter is necessarily more complicated and has an influence on recovery.
So yes, the shape of the moment is one of the 5 or 6 main indicators I take into account to try to detect if I will take this or that bet. There are sites for all sports that give you the latest games, which allows you to quickly see the current shape, such as soccer stats for soccer, for rugby for example. Some sites even give it directly as Leaguespy, which I recommend for football.
So much for the last technical moment of the year. There will, of course, be more in 2019.
Thank you! Some may not understand it, but that's why: I had taken a few teams to be European champions and there was a value on Portugal with a nice score - 17 or 20 - at the beginning of the Euro. I was asked the question when I went to many sports to present my book. Everyone on the set had bet on France except me. When Eder scored in the final, I was divided because I won my bet but France lost the European Championship at home.
G: - And you, would you thank who?
P: - Alexis Sanchez from Arsenal, because he is a great player. And humanly he's exceptional, he posts a lot of stuff on social networks, he's very close to his fans.
G: - I hope to thank him in 2019 because I have a long-term bet on the Premier League scorers! In the main bet, I have Costa and Aguero who are first and third in this ranking but I took a cover on Sanchez because he just scored a triple and is in second place. It's going to be between these three anyway.
P: - Thanks to Russia for making me lose a lot of bets during the last Winter Olympics. I had analyzed and the Russians were picking it up in several disciplines like biathlon. So I had taken under and over on Russia's medals, face to face against other countries. But it turned out that they finished at the top of the rankings by all doing crazy performances! We have since realized that in Russia, doping is organized...
G: - And you?
P: - Thanks to Karim Benzema (laughs)
G: - (laughs) All because of the Valbuena stories?
P: - Yes, it's disappointing
G: - When it's someone you liked?
P: - ah yes, rather!
G: - He's definitely a great striker... what's crazy is that we're depriving ourselves of it in the French team and we're walking quite a bit. I think it must be a disappointment for Deschamps too to have to deprive himself of a striker even if Griezmann and Gameiro do the job.
P: - Thanks to Brest and Strasbourg that I took at the beginning of the Ligue 2 season with a score of 30 for both. Halfway through the championship, Brest is the autumn champion with a 3 point lead over Reims and Strasbourg, which is third. Today, Brest is the favorite of the bookmakers with a rating of 3.50 and Strasbourg is at 8. So I had detected the value bet! I also took the Top 3 with odds of 6 or 7. I reassure you, I tried to secure all this by taking other teams ranked 2, 5 and 6 to withdraw money no matter what. This is what I call making a positive arbitration.
I hesitated between several but it was the sentimental side that took over. So thank you to the Irish rugby team who ended a series of 13 or 14 wins for New Zealand. It was a surprise because New Zealand was rated very low, at 1.05 or 1.10. It was a great game.
And above all, Foley, the Munster coach, died suddenly of a cardiac arrest a few days before his team was due to play against Racing Metro 92 in the European Cup. He was a former international who was very much loved by all Irish people and loved rugby. The Irish team players paid tribute to him during the New Zealand haka by forming an 8, the number Foley wore when he played. I thought it was really strong, I still get goosebumps when I talk about it. I invite you to watch this on youtube to review it. It's really beautiful. It looks like the Irish were playing at 16.
That's why I say that if you make sports bets, you have to take into account the motivation of a team, especially in rugby, which is a contact sport - almost a combat sport - where the mind plays a lot.
G: - And you?
P: - Dortmund, especially for the fans actually.
G: - For the yellow wall?
P: - Yes, for the yellow wall.
G: - It must be quite impressive. Have you ever been there maybe?
P: - No, never, but I dream about it.
G: - In addition, they are doing quite well this year in the Champions League, although it is a little more complicated for them in the league.
P: - For me, the golden sport is swimming, in connection with the Rio Olympics. Kazakh Dimitri Balandin on 200 meters breaststroke allowed me to beat my odds record with a score of 101. He wins in the final on the sidelines. For experiencing the race live, it was quite incredible. I exploded with joy when I saw Balandin first! This is my new singles odds record, it wasn't a combination. ( I tell you more about it in this article) We'll see in 2019 if we can beat that, knowing that there are no big competitions or Olympic Games... Maybe in athletics, we have to see. I'm going to analyze all this and see what kind of big competitions there is this year. I still think it's going to be really very complicated to do better!
