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Relational Zone Economics: Toward a Complex Adaptive Theory of Strategic Human Interaction in Economics System

25 Juni 2025   21:07 Diperbarui: 25 Juni 2025   21:07 334
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It adds multi-level zone classification (black, red, yellow, green, clear) to agent behaviors, enabling both continuous and discontinuous transitions in relational state-space.
It incorporates memory, strategic opacity, and emotional weighting as first-class modeling elements.
RZE enables modeling of non-linear, hysteretic relational dynamics --- such as forgiveness loops, strategic silence, or mutual escalation --- critical for understanding how economies function under stress, uncertainty, and institutional decay.
Thus, RZE complements the CAS paradigm by making relational ambiguity and adaptive trust dynamics computable, interpretable, and empirically testable, pushing the frontier of complexity economics into the domain of strategic relational behavior.

D. The Relational, Ambiguous, and Strategic Intention Gaps in Current Economic Theories

Despite the significant evolution of economic thought---from neoclassical models toward behavioral and complexity paradigms---a critical dimension remains persistently underdeveloped: the role of relational dynamics, strategic ambiguity, and intentionality in economic interaction. Most prevailing models, including game-theoretic and complexity-based frameworks, continue to operate on assumptions of static preferences, observable actions, or calculable payoffs, insufficiently accounting for the inherently opaque, adaptive, and trust-laden nature of human economic behavior.

1. Relational Dynamics: Beyond Agents and Incentives

In real-world economics, especially in domains such as institutional development, entrepreneurship, collective action, and negotiation, relationships between agents are often more decisive than merely the exchange of goods or information. While game theory introduces concepts like cooperation and defection, it reduces relational richness to binary or scalar actions, largely omitting history-laden, role-sensitive, and affective ties.

Economic actors are not merely payoff maximizers; they are also role performers, identity builders, and norm navigators. Relationships may involve tacit commitments, symbolic gestures, reputational risk, emotional reciprocity, or status negotiations---all of which influence decisions outside the scope of standard utility or strategy formulations.

Example: The decision of a startup founder to exit at suboptimal valuation for the sake of maintaining trust with early employees or mentors cannot be captured by classical rational choice models, yet is commonplace in actual practice.

2. Strategic Ambiguity: A Missing Mode of Action

Much of economic theory presupposes clarity of signals and observability of actions. Even behavioral models typically assume that deviations from rationality stem from cognitive limits or heuristics, rather than from deliberate ambiguity. However, strategic ambiguity---where an actor consciously withholds clarity to preserve negotiation power, forestall judgment, or test counterpart intentions---is a recurring and rational behavior in many economic domains.

This is especially true in:

Bilateral trade negotiations where partial signaling is essential
Leadership signaling within firms or coalitions
Investor-founder interactions, where each side may mask intentions for leverage or long-term alignment testing
Current formal economic tools---whether utility theory, mechanism design, or agent-based modeling---lack the expressive grammar to represent such ambiguous-but-strategic postures.

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